If you’re reading this post, I’m assuming you’re a Kings fan. Otherwise, why else would you be reading a Sacramento Kings blog unless you’re just trying to be supportive of my writing career?
Assuming you are a Kings fan — do you remember back in March and April when you were constantly arguing with Milwaukee Bucks fans, Golden State Warriors fans and to a truly ludicrous extent New Orleans Hornets fans? The argument was about who should be the 2010 Rookie of the Year.
Brandon Jennings was riding the playoff appearance wave and no other qualifying Rookie of the Year award hopeful could play that card. Yes, Jennings shot an abysmal percentage from almost everywhere on the floor inside the three-point line but he managed the game better than any young point guard in the league. Stephen Curry was the other prime candidate and he was a fantastic one at that. The statistics he put up from January through the end of the season made people throw Steve Nash’s name around as a potential match for Steph’s prime. And Darren Collison… well, Hornets fans are really passionate whether the premise of their argument is completely insane or not.
At some point, you probably caught yourself arguing about how much better Tyreke was than any and all of these guys. You may have said Jennings sucked and was a horrible shooter. You could have said Curry was too small, a product of a chaotic basketball existence and not nearly the defender Evans showed.
Now that we’re months away from an argument that has been solved by selected media members covering the NBA, we should be able to all celebrate how good these three are. And in doing so we should think about just how incredible of a shooter Stephen Curry is. After a slow start in the first two months of his career, Dell Curry’s oldest little guy exploded into a statistical orgasm. From January through April, Steph shot 46.9% from the field, 45% from three-point range, and 90% from the free throw line. For a small combo guard that was allegedly too slow to get his shot off at the NBA level, those are pretty impressive shooting percentages. He also averaged 21 points, 6.8 assists and 4.9 rebounds per game during this time.
To bash Stephen Curry’s rookie season is to not appreciate just how impressive of a player he is. But the most incredible part of his game is certainly his shooting ability. Imagining what Tyreke Evans would be like with shooting ability similar to Steph Curry is sort of bordering on the absurdity of Create-A-Player possibilities in any NBA video game. But what if Tyreke could find a happy medium between the way he shot his jumper and the way Steph shot his jumper last season? What if Evans took away that glaring weakness he was often maligned for and turned it into a strength?
Would any of us truly be ready for such a weapon in the NBA?
Check out HoopData.com and you’ll find one of the most useful tools you can find in basketball research – their shot location statistics. On shots from 16-23 feet last season, Tyreke Evans put up a below league average performance of 32% while Stephen Curry shot a very nice 44%. And on three-point attempts, Reke managed an unsightly 25.5% with Curry residing among league leaders with 43.7%.
Tyreke Evans often drew the opponent’s best perimeter defender last season. And that perimeter defender usually had his teammates form a mosh pit behind him to attempt to deter Reke from driving to the lane. Because Evans seemingly knew his limitations of what he was able to accomplish as a rookie, he drove the lane and did so in a stubborn way. He led the league in attempts at the rim and bullied his way into wherever he wanted to go on the court. Sometimes this lead to horrible decisions in attacking a defense and Evans was left with nowhere to go. But more times than not, he was able to get to the basket and score on just about anybody.
The one luxury he didn’t have was a deadly or even adequate jump shot to balance out his superior ability to penetrate into the defense before him. Defenders like Shane Battier, Nicolas Batum and even stars like Kobe Bryant and LeBron James in crunch time were able to lean on his inferior jumper as a source of frustration and weakness to stop Evans whenever they needed to.
As we learned from Sam Amick on FanHouse this week, Reke didn’t always have this problem. He used to have quite the jump shot in high school and while we only have this favorable YouTube highlight reel to really show us, we can notice the difference in what he shows here and what he showed us in his rookie season.
First, check out the mixtape:
Now check out a couple of examples I put together to show the difference in his inconsistent shooting form:
When you look at his high school highlights, you see that Reke’s shooting form keeps the ball in front of his face and the follow-through with his shooting hand is smooth and balanced. Compare that to the video of his misses and you’ll see plenty of problems that probably led to the misfires:
- On the first jumper the ball is brought towards the side of his head, which is not consistent with the shooting form from his high school days.
- On the second and third jumpers he brings the ball over his head and then awkwardly over his forehead.
- On the fourth jumper his follow-through breaks unevenly to the right.
- On the fifth jumper Tyreke’s follow-through is cut short and seems very unfinished.
So what changed from high school to his season in Sacramento? According to Sam Amick’s fantastic piece, many think it’s probably a lack of confidence fostered in his one year under then Memphis coach John Calipari.
“I don’t blame anybody, but I think coach Cal looked at is like, ‘Hey, you know what? This kid can get to the basket any time he wants, so let’s play him to his strength,” said Tony Bergeron, Evans’ coach at the Aston, Pa. high school. “(But) I used to have a fit watching his Memphis games. I’d be screaming at the TV, saying ‘Shoot!’”
Which is precisely what Bergeron shouted during Evans’ prep years, too.
“His brother Doc was the one who would go in, work on that arc and get shots up with him,” Bergeron said. “Doc gets a ton of credit. … And then there was me, who loves the three-ball. I used to destroy ‘Reke for not shooting. I’m yelling, ‘Shoot the three, shoot the three!’ Then he’d start hitting it. And then all of a sudden it clicked during his junior year. Everyone would start bellying up, and he would go right by people. The game became very easy.”
According to Bergeron, Evans shot 40.6 percent from three-point range as a senior while playing under preparatory school rules that mandated 10-minute quarters. In addition to the accuracy, though, it’s the contrast in volume from then to now that is remarkable.
Evans, his brothers and his friends have been working on repairing the damaged confidence in his jumper over this off-season. We have a little video evidence from the tireless hours they all have put in to help fix his biggest weakness. We see a smoother stroke, improved form and a lot more confidence in the jump shot. And while we can’t truly know if it’s on the way to respectability and eventually something for the defense to fear until he gets out into the regular season, it does give everybody something to ponder.
Is anybody ready for a version of Tyreke Evans in which any spot on the floor is potentially lethal?
There is no limit to what Tyreke Evans can do on the basketball court if he has the jump shot in his arsenal. Tyreke would more often than not have his opponent completely off-balance with his superior dribbling, the unrelenting motivation to drive easily into the heart of the defense and the “Break Glass In Case Of Emergency” jump shot at his disposal.
With players like LeBron James, Jason Kidd and Russell Westbrook it’s easy to get caught up in the game of What If when trying to figure out how good they would be with an effective jumper from outside. But it’s always a faulty daydream because these guys never seemingly had this ability at any point in their competitive careers. However, with Tyreke we have tales of two different existences. We have “good jumper Reke” and we have “bad jumper Reke.”
And if we get a chance to see “good jumper Reke” from here on out, Kings fans should get ready to start arguing about future awards.
@Dima I would much rather have him win one NBA Finals MVP (for the Kings of course) than 5 regular season MVP awards.
Cameron
Thank you Zach! I’ve been tellin friends this for years. I was lucky enough to hear about Reke when he was JUST starting out and was a BIG fan. I got to watch his sick performance at the McDonalds All-American and saw an early copy of “Gunnin for that #1 spot”. His jumper was great in both! It wouldn’t surprise me at all to see it start to come back to form this season. And WHEN it does… well lets just say this league has it’s next superstar! I don’t say that as a Kings fan, but from the heart as a basketball fan.
Dale
This possible Great news along with our other added potential talents, the Kings financial situation and another NBA year experience behind us, it is hard not to get overly optimistic about our Sacramento “No Quit” Kings!
It definately looks better, just imagine if this can transfer over into live game action with a defender in front of him. Even with a midrange game like this he would dominate, add in his deep range he showed in high school and he has top 5 player potential in this league. There wont be anything he cant do….
Robert
Offensively the only thing comparable would be Dwayne Wade, but Evans might be a shade quicker. Personally I don’t see Evans shot getting any better than someone like Wade, as the 50%, 40%, 90% guys don’t exactly grow on trees. And don’t cut your audience short, I’m a BASKETBALL (Hawks) fan.
I’m more interested to see his development on the defensive side of the ball. This guy could be an absolute nightmare on D. He’s strong enough to play 2′s and smaller 3′s, and quick enough to cover the fastest 1′s and 2′s. There is no doubt he has all the physical tools and has one of the highest potentials of any player in the NBA right now.
Steven
I am not a Kings fan. I am in (sad) fact a Knicks fan. So, given how painful that is I splurged for NBA league pass this year. And quickly realized I enjoyed watching the Kings. A really nice, interesting competitive team, and Tyreke Evans is truly unbelievable! One of my top 5 players to watch. If any of you go back far enough as fans of NBA greatness-and more specifically great NBA big combo guards who play both ends and play with tremendous force and determination, he evokes Michael Ray Richardson, about whom Magic Johnson said, “Were it not for drugs, he’d have been as good as me.” The biggest reward of NBA league pass was seeing the Kings and the Thunder. My two favorite teams now-outside my own. The Kings were way better than the record showed and seem to have added a couple of nice pieces as well.
Cameron
He definitely has that “Sugar” Ray feel around the basket. Love that you threw that out there Steven! I’ve said since the beginning, he looks like Sugar, Hardaway and Magic combined into one guy! And if that’s not a recipe for a NBA superstar, I’m not sure there is one!
Dima
I cannot wait for the upcoming season, tyreke, demarcus, and the rest of the guys are really going to be fun to watch
Nick
I wouldn’t underestimate how much your DDL moderating will increase your readership, Zach.
won
Tyreke is all about bullying his defender and pretty much getting to the rim whenever he feels like it with his big ass body and nasty handles. Let’s just hope that he doesn’t turn into a lazy c-webb who loves the jumper more than using his body for what it’s really good for.
Dale
Sometimes I feel like I’m the only Kool-Aid drinking fan out here. Maybe I’m too optimistic or what but it’s nice to see others seeing the Kings potential future. I always have looked forward to the down time between seasons. Gladly to get my life / evenings back from my Kings/DVR watching. But this Kings team has made me so hungry for October to get here. (I’ve never been a blogger before this.) We competed so well for a very young team last year. Extremely well against playoff teams. Always felt we were one player shy of a lot of wins. Now with Cousins, Whiteside, Dalembert, Jeter, Garcia, another year of NBA experience under our young belt, I’m fine with not paying some high priced vet at this point in time. I want to see these guys by themselves for a while. My Kool-Aid is making me think we have it all right now and I want to see if it’s true or not.
http://www.thepickandscroll.com Aykis16
@Steven You must not watch much Dwyane Wade. He’s insanely quick for his size and very explosive. Tyreke is more physical but uses more finesse around the basket than Wade. Tyreke is not nearly as fast as Wade and likely won’t ever be. He can however be less susceptible to injuries thanks to his sturdier body, as well as possibly a better shooter (Wade’s only a career 28.9% from 3 point range despite launching over 850 threes, over half of which have come in the last two years)
Keith
Tyreke with a jumper would be deadly. But just from the information we have, it’s hard to really say he was ever a great jump-shooter. The high school three point line is several feet closer than the NBA three point line. High school threes would be lumped into the 16-23 foot area in the NBA. 40% from 16-23 feet would only be league average from that distance, still no great feat. Further, and this is the case with pretty much all great young players, high school defense is nothing. Comparing high school efficiency to NBA efficiency without adjusting for difference in defensive caliber would be silly, don’t you think?
Even in that highlight video, look how much taller he is than his defender consistently. His outside shooting was not nearly as affected by the long arms of defenders. That’s not to say his stroke doesn’t look better back then. It does. But I’m not sure an ability to hit 40% of his shots from NBA 2 point range against a plethora of guys smaller than him and less athletic than him has much bearing on Tyreke against NBA defenses who can recover much quicker, have vastly superior athletes, and whom are taller.
kris
@Keith
If you watch the video alot of those 3′s he is shooting are further out than the NBA 3 pt range. Most of those he is 5-6 feet behind the HS 3pt line which i believe is only 3-4 feet closer than the NBA 3pt line. And the defense has to be accounted for a little but not much, Tyreke’s driving ability has guys playing off him so much he will be able to get a 3pt shot off, and if they arent playing off him because the shot is falling then he will be able to drive by them with ease.
Keith
@kris
Evans made 36 threes last year. I already knew he CAN hit threes, just not with any consistency. I don’t think we can determine that highlight reel is an accurate representation of his season shooting. A highlight reel is the exact opposite place to look for consistency.
I think you are seriously underselling the defensive difference. It is loads easier to do everything against inferior competition, even things you aren’t great at to begin with. Everyone is a great shooter in the gym with no one around. High school for Tyreke wasn’t so different from that season long. He was essentially as wide open as he wanted to be without effort. In the NBA, that isn’t the case. He is only as open as he can manufacture consistently. Don’t forget that he’s not just going against anyone in the NBA, he’s consistently going against the opponent’s best defender. The difference between high school and a Kobe-level defender every game is astronomical.
I’m not saying the defense is the only reason, Tyreke’s form did look better in the past. I’m just saying, it has a pretty serious impact. If you are going against the best defenders in the world every game, it is going to change how you get your points. If you have a weakness in your game, it is going to be a lot more of a weakness against superior defenders.
I would love to see Tyreke turn into an all-around threat who will kill teams from everywhere on the court. But looking back, how many elite players with Tyreke’s game really ever turned into deadly shooters? People always say Lebron should be a better shooter, but he’s already over 60% eFG. As a perimeter player, that is roughly as efficient as humanly possible given his usage. Tyreke should get around 33% as time goes, but I don’t think we should be holding our breaths waiting for the 50%-40% year that I’m sure he pulled off in high school.
Uh Oh… What Happens If Tyreke Evans Can Shoot?
16If you’re reading this post, I’m assuming you’re a Kings fan. Otherwise, why else would you be reading a Sacramento Kings blog unless you’re just trying to be supportive of my writing career?
Assuming you are a Kings fan — do you remember back in March and April when you were constantly arguing with Milwaukee Bucks fans, Golden State Warriors fans and to a truly ludicrous extent New Orleans Hornets fans? The argument was about who should be the 2010 Rookie of the Year.
Brandon Jennings was riding the playoff appearance wave and no other qualifying Rookie of the Year award hopeful could play that card. Yes, Jennings shot an abysmal percentage from almost everywhere on the floor inside the three-point line but he managed the game better than any young point guard in the league. Stephen Curry was the other prime candidate and he was a fantastic one at that. The statistics he put up from January through the end of the season made people throw Steve Nash’s name around as a potential match for Steph’s prime. And Darren Collison… well, Hornets fans are really passionate whether the premise of their argument is completely insane or not.
At some point, you probably caught yourself arguing about how much better Tyreke was than any and all of these guys. You may have said Jennings sucked and was a horrible shooter. You could have said Curry was too small, a product of a chaotic basketball existence and not nearly the defender Evans showed.
Now that we’re months away from an argument that has been solved by selected media members covering the NBA, we should be able to all celebrate how good these three are. And in doing so we should think about just how incredible of a shooter Stephen Curry is. After a slow start in the first two months of his career, Dell Curry’s oldest little guy exploded into a statistical orgasm. From January through April, Steph shot 46.9% from the field, 45% from three-point range, and 90% from the free throw line. For a small combo guard that was allegedly too slow to get his shot off at the NBA level, those are pretty impressive shooting percentages. He also averaged 21 points, 6.8 assists and 4.9 rebounds per game during this time.
To bash Stephen Curry’s rookie season is to not appreciate just how impressive of a player he is. But the most incredible part of his game is certainly his shooting ability. Imagining what Tyreke Evans would be like with shooting ability similar to Steph Curry is sort of bordering on the absurdity of Create-A-Player possibilities in any NBA video game. But what if Tyreke could find a happy medium between the way he shot his jumper and the way Steph shot his jumper last season? What if Evans took away that glaring weakness he was often maligned for and turned it into a strength?
Would any of us truly be ready for such a weapon in the NBA?
Check out HoopData.com and you’ll find one of the most useful tools you can find in basketball research – their shot location statistics. On shots from 16-23 feet last season, Tyreke Evans put up a below league average performance of 32% while Stephen Curry shot a very nice 44%. And on three-point attempts, Reke managed an unsightly 25.5% with Curry residing among league leaders with 43.7%.
Tyreke Evans often drew the opponent’s best perimeter defender last season. And that perimeter defender usually had his teammates form a mosh pit behind him to attempt to deter Reke from driving to the lane. Because Evans seemingly knew his limitations of what he was able to accomplish as a rookie, he drove the lane and did so in a stubborn way. He led the league in attempts at the rim and bullied his way into wherever he wanted to go on the court. Sometimes this lead to horrible decisions in attacking a defense and Evans was left with nowhere to go. But more times than not, he was able to get to the basket and score on just about anybody.
The one luxury he didn’t have was a deadly or even adequate jump shot to balance out his superior ability to penetrate into the defense before him. Defenders like Shane Battier, Nicolas Batum and even stars like Kobe Bryant and LeBron James in crunch time were able to lean on his inferior jumper as a source of frustration and weakness to stop Evans whenever they needed to.
As we learned from Sam Amick on FanHouse this week, Reke didn’t always have this problem. He used to have quite the jump shot in high school and while we only have this favorable YouTube highlight reel to really show us, we can notice the difference in what he shows here and what he showed us in his rookie season.
First, check out the mixtape:
Now check out a couple of examples I put together to show the difference in his inconsistent shooting form:
When you look at his high school highlights, you see that Reke’s shooting form keeps the ball in front of his face and the follow-through with his shooting hand is smooth and balanced. Compare that to the video of his misses and you’ll see plenty of problems that probably led to the misfires:
- On the first jumper the ball is brought towards the side of his head, which is not consistent with the shooting form from his high school days.
- On the second and third jumpers he brings the ball over his head and then awkwardly over his forehead.
- On the fourth jumper his follow-through breaks unevenly to the right.
- On the fifth jumper Tyreke’s follow-through is cut short and seems very unfinished.
So what changed from high school to his season in Sacramento? According to Sam Amick’s fantastic piece, many think it’s probably a lack of confidence fostered in his one year under then Memphis coach John Calipari.
Evans, his brothers and his friends have been working on repairing the damaged confidence in his jumper over this off-season. We have a little video evidence from the tireless hours they all have put in to help fix his biggest weakness. We see a smoother stroke, improved form and a lot more confidence in the jump shot. And while we can’t truly know if it’s on the way to respectability and eventually something for the defense to fear until he gets out into the regular season, it does give everybody something to ponder.
Is anybody ready for a version of Tyreke Evans in which any spot on the floor is potentially lethal?
There is no limit to what Tyreke Evans can do on the basketball court if he has the jump shot in his arsenal. Tyreke would more often than not have his opponent completely off-balance with his superior dribbling, the unrelenting motivation to drive easily into the heart of the defense and the “Break Glass In Case Of Emergency” jump shot at his disposal.
With players like LeBron James, Jason Kidd and Russell Westbrook it’s easy to get caught up in the game of What If when trying to figure out how good they would be with an effective jumper from outside. But it’s always a faulty daydream because these guys never seemingly had this ability at any point in their competitive careers. However, with Tyreke we have tales of two different existences. We have “good jumper Reke” and we have “bad jumper Reke.”
And if we get a chance to see “good jumper Reke” from here on out, Kings fans should get ready to start arguing about future awards.
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