Home > Preseason > TrueHoop Network 2009-10 Season Preview: Kings

TrueHoop Network 2009-10 Season Preview: Kings

Last Year’s Record: 17-65

Crystal Ball
The consensus prediction of the TrueHoop Network bloggers … and the best hopes of Cowbell Kingdom.

Crowd Says: 22-60
Cowbell Kingdom Says: 28-54

Yes We Can!
The sun is out. The seas have parted. The basketball gods are shining upon us!

While last season’s Sacramento Kings often looked like a basketball team that had very little talent or direction, the 2009-10 version will be the beginning of
a distant memory of the 17-win disaster. There are three things this year’s Kings have that last year’s team didn’t: a competitive culture of basketball, a threat at the point guard position and a healthy Kevin Martin.

We all know about the dangerous scoring ability of Kevin Martin. He’s the epitome of efficiency with the basketball in a day and age when quality control
has never been examined more closely by NBA analysts. He rarely makes a move towards the basket that doesn’t result in a high likelihood of scoring. He
racks up above-60 percent seasons in the True Shooting Percentage category like Mitch Richmond recorded 20-point per game seasons. Martin missed 31
games last year and 52 games over the past two seasons. However, now that his ankle is completely healthy, his quickness and athleticism should bolster a team that needs quick, easy points to keep up with the competition.

For anyone that witnessed Reggie Theus’ season and a half tenure as the head coach of the Kings, it’s easy to see why the team always seemed to regress. After the Kings cut bait with Theus, they decided to get much more serious with their sideline direction and hired Paul
Westphal this offseason. All Westphal has ever done in the NBA is win the overwhelming majority of his games (267-159, 62.7 percent). Now, he’ll try to show this group of young assets how to be successful.

And finally, the point guard position has been an issue with this team since Mike Bibby was jettisoned for cap-friendly pieces. The rise and fall of Beno Udrih has encompassed two seasons of subpar performances at the point. Enter Tyreke Evans – a bulldozer-sized menace who will test the strength of every team’s defense at its entry point. He immediately creates matchup problems against teams with traditional point guards and will look to have a similar impact as fellow Memphis alum, Derrick Rose.

This Kings team will not set the basketball world on fire by any means. But the culture has changed in a positive way and they’ll no longer be a team over-
looked by their opponents.

No You Can’t
A rousing dissent from a rival blogger.

“What’s the thinking behind the NBA’s worst defensive team’s offseason transactions of note consist of adding rookies Tyreke Evans and Omri Casspi, worthy rehabilitation effort but defensively limited Sean May, and Sergio Rodriguez? Things can’t get any worse? Successful team defense depends on taxpayer subsidies? Hopes of turning the team’s attempt to break the NBA single-season record for most free throws attempted by opponents (3076, 1970-71 Philadelphia 76ers) into a morbid gate attraction?”
– Bret LaGree, Hoopinion

All-A-Twitter
A 140-character insight into the soul of the team.

“Just finished up my son name. Bout 2 go get my arms waxed for da photo shoot. Lol monarchs game 2nite.”

The top tweeter on the team is easily Donte Greene (@DonteGreene). You never know what he’s going to say to his fans or anyone following his updates. From putting his infant son on Twitter (@liltae20) to screaming at Francisco Garcia to tweet in English to answering questions that his fans ask him on a daily basis, Donte Greene seems to completely understand how to connect with his fans.

On the Record
Single best quote concerning the team during the last 12 months.

“This is just frustrating going through things like this. We can’t keep making excuses. That’s just it. I’m embarrassed. I hope everybody else is embarrassed,
too. That was just ridiculous, the way we came out and competed tonight. I wouldn’t even say competed. We didn’t even show up.”

- Bobby Jackson after the Kings lost to the Celtics 108-63 in December. The recently retired Bobby Jackson was one of the veteran voices last year that the Kings needed. Unfortunately, they didn’t have the coach to turn those words into something meaningful. This year, they’ll need one of the younger players to step into that role and work with coach Westphal on keeping this team motivated.

The 2008-09 Almanac
Some key stats from last season.

Offense: 25th
Defense: 30th
Pace: 7th

Team Factor Strength(s): Free Throws (5th)
Team Factor Weakness(es): Shooting Allowed (29th), Defensive Rebounding (29th), Free Throws Allowed (27th)

The Play
Down a single point with 9.2 seconds to play in a must-win game. What’s the play?

With the team down one and less than ten seconds to go, the Kings should run a pick and roll play with Kevin Martin as the point man and Spencer Hawes as the screener. Martin is the best player on the team at getting to the free throw line and scoring the ball. If he gets a solid screen and any hesitation from the defense, he’ll easily get a high-percentage scoring attempt. And with Hawes as the screener, you have the option to roll him to the basket or pop out to the perimeter.

The People’s Choice
The fan favorite the crowd will be chanting for to see some action.

Omri Casspi will be the player all of the fans want to see on the court. The log- jam at small forward means the Kings will struggle to find time for the first Israeli NBA player but fans will be anxious to see his development.

If You’re Watching the Bottom Line, You’re Watching This
The single biggest spreadsheet issue hanging over the team.

Beno Udrih’s contract is the biggest issue for the Kings over the next four years. He’s owed just under $27 million during that time. Udrih is of diminishing use in this rebuilding process, which makes his contract an albatross to the financially strapped Kings. The best hope for a resolution to this situation is for the presence of Sergio Rodriguez to push Beno to prove that he still belongs in an NBA rotation.

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  • Aykis16

    Good Preview Zach. I also went with 28 wins in my Prediction post over at StR. I’m sort of enjoying all the criticism the Kings are getting and how they’re still going to be the worst team in the league, because I think once the season starts, the team will begin to turn heads. I know Westphal has been credited as an offensive coach, but he’s completely changed this teams philosophy already in the preseason. The defense is miles better than last season, Rebounding is much improved, in fact the only thing that seems to have been hurt is the offense, which is fine with me, because offense comes with chemistry and experience, but defense needs to be instilled from the get go. This is going to be a very feisty team, and it won’t give up. We’ll surprise some teams that think we’re an easy win. This team is going to be fun to watch.

  • pookeyguru

    Nice preview Zach, but I’m going to quibble a bit with this line: “the point guard position has been an issue with this team since Mike Bibby was jettisoned for cap-friendly pieces.”

    Anybody who thought that Mike Bibby’s departure sunk this team was watching a different Mike Bibby than I was. Bibby has done well with the Hawks, but that doesn’t mean the Kings didn’t make an error by trading him there in the first place. (Frankly, I think the Hawks overpaid Bibby this summer, but that’s me.)

    Either way, though, good preview Zach.

  • http://www.cowbellkingdom.com Zach Harper

    @Aykis16
    I agree. I think this team is no longer a pushover. Sure, the Bostons, Clevelands, and Orlandos of the league are still going to dominate them. But this team is back to being a tough out at home and will be improved on the road.

  • http://www.cowbellkingdom.com Zach Harper

    @pookeyguru
    I don’t think by any means Bibby’s departure sunk the team. But at the same time even the half-assed effort he was giving this organization the last two years was better than what Beno did. At least in my opinion.

    And I completely agree about the Hawks overpaying. They could have found a better veteran point (Sessions? Miller?) to pair with Jeff Teague.

  • pookeyguru

    @Zach Harper
    Yeah I gotta agree about Teague and Sessions being a better fit overall. I think Sessions and JJ would have been nice together, but that’s Rick Sund for you.

    I’m still trying to figure out how Sessions and Flynn will exist in a backcourt together, but that’s me.

    As far as Bibby, it’s neither here nor there. He wanted out, and the Kings obliged. At the time of Beno’s signing, I knew it was a 50-50 proposition then. It’s turned out poorly, but it could be far worse. Chris Webber’s knee injury for starters.

    If this team wins 25 games, I’ll be thrilled.

    Thanks for the nice preview.

  • Bluejohn

    Hey Zach, I for one have never missed Bibby, despite Beno’s ridiculous contract. I have the Kings down for 23 wins this season but would not be surprised to see them win 30 or revisit the scene of last seasons crime.

    I think the stability and coaching chops Westphal brings to the table will make a difference, indeed despite the losses I think we’ve already seen it during preseason. Actually that’s a bad choice of words as I didn’t See anything during the preseason because the games weren’t televised.

    Seriously not concerned about the number of wins this season. what I do want to see is grit and hustle, rebounds, defensive intensity and I want to see us get beat by better teams rather than give up and roll over and give up to mediocre teams. I don’t want to see the Kings continue to make opponents deep bench players look like superstars. I want to see the coach pull anyone who isn’t playing all out or with focus.

    Even though he yet to play a minute of real season hoops I have a feeling that ‘Reke is the best player the Kings have ever drafted and is going to be our “franchise” player. Call me a homer but this kid can do things on the basketball court that I’ve never seen done.

    I hope you are right and I’m wrong but regardless, keep up the good work and i’ll be coming back to see how you think the kids are developing and the team playing.

  • http://www.cowbellkingdom.com Zach Harper

    @Bluejohn
    Ya, I’ve been ringing this bell since the draft but this season is all about changing the culture of basketball in this town. Before this year, the Kings have always been a soft team, easy to bully around or break down mentally (no matter how talented or bad this team was). I truly believe the Westphal pick and the guys they drafted start to reverse it. Toughness, fighting, and tenacity will be slowly injected into this franchise and it will be done so at the roots, instead of a superficial acquisition like Ron Artest.

    Completely agree about Evans too. The kid is a monster.